The John Sloan Dickey Center for International Understanding

Dartmouth News Today: Assessing Overconfidence Among National Security Officials

Oct 10, 2025

Amy Olson writes up Associate Professor of Government Jeffrey Friedman’s recently published study on the “overwhelming overconfidence” of national security officials for Dartmouth News Today.

By harnessing decision science tools, we can make people’s judgments better.

Jeffrey Friedman, associate professor of government

Read here.

(Graphic by Midjourney/Amy Olson and Richard Clark)