“Learning to Predict Proliferation,” International Organization, Forthcoming.
“Rival Hierarchies and the Origins of Nuclear Technology Sharing,” with Jeff Colgan, International Studies Quarterly 63, No. 2 (2019): 310-321.
“North Korea Defied the Theoretical Odds: What Can We Learn from its Successful Nuclearization?” With Vipin Narang, Texas National Security Review 1, No. 2 (2018): 58-75.
Stopping the Bomb: The Sources and Effectiveness of U.S. Nonproliferation Policy, Cornell University Press, 2018.
“Why Nuclear Energy Programs Rarely Lead to Proliferation,” International Security 42, No. 2 (2017): 40-77
“Red Lines in Nuclear Nonproliferation,” with Daniel Altman, Nonproliferation Review 24, No. 3-4 (2017): 315-342.
“Keeping the Bombs in the Basement: U.S. Nonproliferation Policy toward Israel, South Africa, and Pakistan,” with Or Rabinowitz, International Security 40, No. 1 (2015): 41-86.
“Questioning the Effect of Nuclear Weapons on Conflict,” with Mark Bell, Journal of Conflict Resolution 59, No. 1 (2015): 74-92.
“The Secret Success of Nonproliferation Sanctions,” International Organization 68, No. 4 (2014): 913-944.
“Political Devolution and Resistance to Foreign Rule: A Natural Experiment,” with Jeremy Ferwerda, American Political Science Review 108, No. 3 (2014): 642-660.
“Nuclear Dominoes: A Self-Defeating Prophecy?” Security Studies 23, No. 1 (2014): 33-73.